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®CITY OF SOUTH BEND I OFFICE OF THE CLERK <br /> the trend is that we are not building houses anywhere near the rate that we were pre-recession. In <br /> fact, we have a gap opening up where we need to start building more housing. But fundamentally <br /> for South Bend there is this reality of a slower pace of aggregate population growth since the <br /> recession. This has an influence on how conservative or aggressive we are going to be. That is <br /> something we have to keep in mind as well as where we are seeing the activity. We always have <br /> to think about the impact of Notre Dame. We always have to think about college students and <br /> game day impacts. We know a significant number of people ride the train to take part in the game <br /> day experience. We need to know how that comes into play. We need to bring all these pieces into <br /> play. <br /> Mr. Foyle went on, One (1) of the things I always like to do is put things into context. So for me, <br /> I always like to understand,from retail,office and industrial markets,how quickly we are building <br /> and occupying space as well as adding jobs. All things being equal, I would love a world where I <br /> am adding jobs and occupying space faster than I am adding new construction. That would point <br /> to healthy markets. Since 2010,we've been adding our ability to occupy space a lot faster than we <br /> are building it,which speaks to a very healthy market. Since 2010,unsurprisingly, office has been <br /> a weak sector for the Midwest. It is a lot harder to build an office building than it used to be. We <br /> are now having less office space per worker. It used to be around two hundred and fifty (250) <br /> square feet and now it is down to about one hundred and fifty(150). We have significantly reduced <br /> our demand for office space across the board. This has been a big change. Retail is, without a <br /> doubt, the most complex sector. I was just looking at a mall yesterday that had a Carson's, <br /> Burlington Coat Factory and a Sears, and it is in trouble. We have three of those stores that are in <br /> bankruptcy or at least soon will be. We are going to see big changes. I think the retail conversation <br /> is something to keep in mind as we are buying retail differently from what we used to. That has to <br /> be factored into this analysis. <br /> Mr. Foyle continued, One (1) of the things that was important to me was to put the reduced travel <br /> time into Downtown Chicago into context. I think this is where working closely with the <br /> transportation team to be clear about the opportunity of getting an under ninety (90) minute <br /> commute time was critically important. If you look at the Metro System that connects Downtown <br /> Y p Y Y <br /> Chicago to a very large multi-county region, it is not unrealistic to talk about a segment of people <br /> who would live here and work Downtown. Again, it is not a huge number, but it is a realistic <br /> conversation that I don't think we can have today because of the travel time. That gets you into a <br /> conversation about those people moving here and living here. What we wanted to do was try to <br /> find a rational framework to have a conversation about the amount of development we could <br /> anticipate in these different locations. For Honeywell, we acknowledged the reality of two (2) <br /> different trajectories. One (1) was more of an industrial trajectory and the other was more of a <br /> Mixed-Use trajectory. I think one (1) of the things we worked closely with the City on was how <br /> much vacant industrial land we have as well as the extent to which we would explicitly choose to <br /> preserve the industrial development at Honeywell. I think it is,perhaps,the fifth largest contiguous <br /> piece of industrial land in the City. So again, over time, that could be an important reason to <br /> consider continued industrial use versus over a higher value residential use. We are ultimately <br /> trying to understand the existing use and then obviously the value of that space. There is a category <br /> in here called industrial which includes flex and that is office-showroom, so, fifty percent (50%) <br /> office and fifty percent(50%)warehouse. <br /> EXCELLENCE I ACCOUNTABILITY I INNOVATION I INCLUSION I EMPOWERMENT <br /> 455 County-City Building 227 W.Jefferson BvldI South Bend,Indiana 46601Ip574.235.9221If574.235.9173ITM574.235.5567 lwww.southbendin.gov <br /> 6 <br />