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External Trends <br />A prerequisite to any revitalization effort is a clear <br />understanding of the specific situation and the context in <br />which it exists. In the case of South Bend's South Gateway, <br />that means understanding its characteristics and those of the <br />community that has shaped it over time. It also means <br />understanding the dynamics of a larger regional and national <br />society, and those of a real estate and commercial industry <br />that responds to society's needs and desires -- even shapes <br />them. <br />It is realistic that virtually all commercial corridors are in a <br />constant state of transition, from their merchandise and <br />personnel to the skylines and open spaces beyond. Change <br />can be beneficial if it is understood, anticipated, and <br />managed to take advantage of its momentum and direction. <br />Following is a summary of national, regional, and local trends. <br />National Trends <br />The U.S. population is increasingly diverse; the majority of <br />future growth will be in the minority and immigrant <br />categories; <br />The population is aging; <br />For the first time in history, national research surveys <br />show consumers more interested in saving time than <br />money; <br />Communication and technology have encouraged <br />globalization of the economy, tele-commuting, corporate <br />re -engineering and electronic shopping; <br />The retail industry is undergoing dramatic reorganization <br />as big box stores dominate many retailing categories; <br />The country is over stored, but more stores are still being <br />opened; <br />More retailers are looking for locations in established <br />business districts, <br />Fully prepared meals constitute more than 50% of all food <br />purchases causing restaurant growth and reconfiguration <br />of grocery stores; <br />Entertainment and dining targeted to families are growth <br />sectors; <br />Consumers are fighting aging by investing in personal <br />care and education; <br />The office market is coming back, stimulated by the <br />growth of small businesses; <br />Housing within or adjacent to business districts has <br />gained in popularity; <br />There is a strong public desire for "sense of place," the <br />arts, and adult educational experiences; <br />Among young consumers, lattes are replacing liquor as <br />the buzz of choice; <br />Spending on the home is increasing with rent payments <br />up 29% and spending on home furnishing up 50% in the <br />last 10 years; <br />Pets are "Kings of the castle" <br />The bright spot in apparel spending is children's clothes. <br />Regional Trends <br />The Designated Market Area of South Bend contains <br />nearly 840,000 people, an increase of more than 30,000 <br />since the 1990 census; <br />The regional economy is strong, including retailing; office <br />and hotel development; <br />Households and businesses continue to seek the <br />greenfield developments on the outskirts of South Bend; <br />Tourism that centers around Museums and Notre Dame <br />Football remains strong <br />Business Districts, /nc. es s,d• ;s _::x:., ua w rttz x a.,- x su-,., u3., n: <br />South Gateway Commercial Corridor Action Plan <br />4 <br />