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External Trends <br />A clear understanding of development and retail business trends <br />is the basis for understanding actions necessary to improve <br />commercial nodes. In a study of Portage Avenue, that means <br />understanding not only the adjacent neighborhood's <br />characteristics but also those of the Michiana Region and the <br />nation as a whole. It also means understanding the dynamics of <br />change and how the real estate and commercial development <br />industry responds to society's needs and desires— even shapes <br />them. <br />Virtually all commercial corridors are in a constant state of <br />transition, from their merchandise and personnel to the <br />development of green spaces beyond traditional development <br />limits. Change, like the addition of a WalMart or Meijer can be <br />beneficial if it is understood, anticipated, and managed to take <br />advantage of its momentum and direction. Following is a <br />summary of national, regional, and local trends that drive <br />change. <br />National Trends <br />The U.S. population is increasingly diverse; the majority <br />of future growth will be in the minority and immigrant <br />categories; <br />The population is aging; <br />For the first time in history, national research surveys <br />show consumers more interested in saving time than <br />money; <br />Communication and technology have encouraged <br />globalization of the economy, tele-commuting, corporate <br />re -engineering and electronic shopping; <br />The Federal Government has identified "urban sprawl" as <br />a major problem requiring strong action to preserve the <br />quality of life; <br />The retail industry is undergoing dramatic reorganization <br />as big box stores dominate many retailing categories; <br />The country is over stored, but more stores are still being <br />opened; <br />Local and regional drug and groceries stores are being <br />acquired by national chains changing what was a very <br />dispersed industry into one where a few powerful <br />companies offer very similar products and development <br />styles; <br />New retail business ideas are often pioneered on the <br />Internet rather than in line stores; <br />National retailers, recognizing that the spending potential <br />of dense lower income markets equals the spending <br />power of more affluent but more scattered markets, are <br />looking for locations in established, lower income <br />business districts; <br />Fully prepared meals constitute more than 50% of all <br />food purchases causing changes in restaurants and <br />grocery stores, <br />Entertainment and dining targeted to families are growth <br />sectors; <br />Consumers are fighting aging by investing in personal <br />care and education; <br />Housing within or adjacent to business districts has <br />gained in popularity; <br />There is a strong public desire for shopping <br />"experiences" that combine entertainment with <br />purchasing; <br />Among young consumers, lattes are replacing liquor as <br />the buzz of choice; <br />"Cheap skate Chic" has led fashion conscious customers <br />to discount chains in record numbers; <br />Spending on the home is increasing with rent payments <br />up 29% and spending on home furnishing up 50% in the <br />last 10 years; <br />Pets are "Kings of the Castle'; <br />Portage Avenue Corridor Revitalization Plan October 1999 Page 5 <br />